Methods for Evaluating Conflict Prevention
Dr. Evan Hoffman
How can we determine whether or not preventative efforts are successful in preventing the outbreak of a violent conflict?
That is, many researchers have observed that it is notoriously difficult to prove the counter-factual of successfully preventing an event. While it indeed may be easier to prove that a specific peacebuilding objective did occur rather than proving that something did not occur, the challenge of obtaining a tangible and accurate measure of successful conflict prevention remains unmet.
This report presents two new methods for evaluating conflict prevention.