Monitoring and Early Warning of Violent Conflict in South Sudan Report #1
Peace Tech Lab
ADVANCED, BEGINNER, INTERMEDIATE
Six years of conflict in South Sudan have resulted in over 380,000 deaths, 2.5 million refugees, and nearly 2 million internally displaced people. And despite the signing of a peace agreement in August of last year, episodes of violence continue to plague the country.
PeaceTech Lab believes the ability to predict violent conflict provides critical information for concerned individuals and organizations working to prevent violent conflict before it spreads. These reports mark our foray into statistical modeling of offline violence based on online, open-sourced data.
*** This report is the first of six biweekly reports that are part of an initiative by PeaceTech Lab to identify, monitor, analyze and report on hate speech trends and their relationship to violence incidents and events on the ground in South Sudan. In each of the six reports we will provide insights into recent events identified through our own monitoring and the publicly available ACLED data sets, and will compare our predictions from the previous report with the events that actually took place during the prediction period.